Corporate or Treasury Bonds: Which Bonds Are Better?
Corporate and Treasury bonds each have advantages. Which should you include in your investment portfolio?
What Is the Best Way to Reduce Risk in Your Portfolio?
Learn how to grow your investments at a steady rate by reducing risk in your portfolio.
What Percentage of Your Retirement Portfolio Should Be Bonds?
How should you invest your retirement portfolio if you want it to both grow and have little risk? Are bonds appropriate for preparing for retirement?
Does Investor Bias Make You Underperform the Market?
By Douglas Goldstein CFP® - helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
A friend recently had a losing streak at the casino. Instead of walking away, he played more hands of blackjack. “I was determined to win,” he lamented. In fact, he was playing to recoup his losses.
He was a victim of investment biases subconsciously affecting his decision-making. Gambler’s Fallacy – the belief that after a streak of losses his luck would turn – duped him into doubling his losses. A recent study of Major League Baseball umpires showed how biases are at work in all forms of decision-making. In 1.5 million pitches, umpires were less likely to call a strike if the previous pitch was a strike.
Investor bias can lead you to make bad investing decisions. Biases are shortcuts in decision-making; you may, for example, increase your position in gold stocks because you have recently made a lot of money in gold, ignoring economic news that suggests gold prices are likely to drop. If you make a bet based on what just happened, you suffer from “Recency Bias,” like the umpire, who is more likely to call a ball after two strikes than one.
Passive and automated investment systems (such as dollar cost averaging) outperform active traders because they eliminate such human biases and judgements. Dollar cost averaging – making fixed investments on a regular schedule – improves returns by reducing volatility and human error.
Why do investors actively trade stocks?
The answer is overconfidence bias. Overconfident investors believe they have an edge over others; they are better stock pickers and market timers. The more humbling reality is that overconfident investors underperform the market. They are more likely to act on gut instinct than on research and analysis.
The major obstacle between you and better investment returns is often yourself. By making rational decisions and not letting your emotions dictate your trade orders, you may improve your investment results. To learn more about investor bias, read my blog, ProfilePerspectives.com/investor-bias
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Should You Follow Investment Trends or Bet against the Masses?
By Douglas Goldstein CFP® - helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Today, many “investment trend” websites are enticing online traders to join. Investors who follow the trend – also known as “momentum trading” – invest in stocks based on rising market prices rather than company fundamentals.
The strategy of following the investment trend performs best in a bull market. However, selling before the trend reverses is a skill that eludes most investors. When many investors buy the same stock, the market price can rise above the underlying value of the company. Eventually, as investors’ emotions stabilize, rationality may return, and prices fall into line with the fundamental value of the company (based on measures of revenues, earnings, etc.). Short-term momentum players who try to time market fluctuations seldom outperform buy-and-hold investors in the long term.
The trend can be a false friend
Herding behavior, whereby investors irrationally pile into a stock or sector, is behind most stock market bubbles. Two conditions for stock market bubbles are: new money inflows (which sustain the inflated price), and credit expansion (to generate the capital to invest). When credit conditions tighten, capital flows into the investment market slows and stocks start to decline.
When to bet against the masses
If a company’s fundamentals don’t support the stock price, it may be prudent to bet against the masses. Contrarians are often viewed as the mavericks of the markets. More often than not, their decision to go against the trend is based on thorough fundamental analysis.
If you base your investment decisions on sound fundamental security analysis, you may not always be a part of investment trends, but you will hopefully enjoy steadier and better long-term investment performance.
For more on the risks of following the trend, see my book review of Ben Bernanke’s book about the 2008 crash at Profile-Financial.com/bernanke
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Do You Look at the Risk-Reward Ratio of Your Stocks and Bonds?
By Douglas Goldstein CFP® - helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
The risk-reward ratio is an attempt to quantify the amount of risk you need to take in order to get an anticipated return from any investment.
If you were to only consider past returns when deciding whether to invest in stocks or bonds, stocks would appear to be the clear winner. From 2007 to 2016, stocks had an average annual return of 9% versus about 5% for 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds.
If past returns are your only measurement of performance, then perhaps you should consider high-yield corporate bonds. This year, Harvard University’s endowment fund made its largest allocation to a high-yield corporate bond exchange traded fund (ETF), which had a one-year return (through March 2017) of 13.4%.
Risk vs return
Prudent investors know that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns, and instead of chasing last year’s returns they start by looking at their own risk profile. Indeed, some would say that Harvard marched farther out on the risk spectrum than a conservative education endowment should wander.
Fund managers always look at both the return and risk premium – the risk-adjusted return – of a stock or bond. The risk premium is one of the most important metrics in investing because it indicates how much money you may receive (the return) for the level of risk taken.
So, do stocks still make sense?
Stocks make a lot of sense on a risk-return basis. Looking over a long investment horizon, from 1967 to 2016, stocks returned over 11% on average compared to about 7% for 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds. Consider too, that stocks’ risk premium was 6.6% and the Treasuries’ 4.4%. By comparing the risk-return metrics, it appears as if investors are taking on added risk in exchange for incremental stock returns.
Diversifying an investment portfolio by adding bonds with a lower risk-return ratio may provide a superior risk-adjusted return. Find out why having a diversified portfolio matters at Profile-Financial.com/asset-allocation
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Can Optimism Increase Your Investment Returns?
By Douglas Goldstein CFP® - helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Are your investment returns determined by your worldview? Are people hardwired to be pessimists?
Millions of years ago, if an optimistic caveman dismissed a rustle in a bush as the wind blowing, our ancestor may have ended up as a tiger’s lunch. As a result of this early conditioning, the part of our brain called the amygdala scans everything we see and hear for negative news.
But according to Dr. Peter Diamandis, the founder of the coveted X Prize for Technology Innovation (and guest on The Goldstein On Gelt Show), this bias is more of a short circuit rather than an intelligent system design. He claims that in life and investing, it pays to be an optimist, as humans pay ten times more attention to negative news than positive news.
Why optimism outperforms
Technology is changing our lives for the better. A cursory list of human accomplishments over the past 100 years shows the future is indeed rosy – per capita income has more than tripled, extreme poverty has declined to less than 10% of the world, and human lifespan has doubled.
This is a time of abundance, also the name of Dr. Diamandis’ book, Abundance: The Future is Better Than You Think. The book’s most powerful message is that technology is “resource liberating,” as it makes once inaccessible resources available and abundant.
The future is optimistic investing
But how does all this optimism affect your investment portfolio? Dr. Diamandis does not mention specific companies but he does mention names, including Bill Gates and Ilan Musk – technologists behind inventions that are addressing scarcity and expanding resources, and the most successful companies in the world. If you believe the world is improving to be a better place, your optimism can find expression in choosing areas of the economy, and the corresponding stocks, in which to invest.
For more on optimistic investment opportunities turning science fiction into “science fact,” listen to our discussion at GoldsteinOnGelt.com/Diamandis
(The opinions expressed on The Goldstein on Gelt Show are those of the guest, and not necessarily my opinion or the opinion of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc.)
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
How to Safely Boost Returns in a Low Interest Rate Environment
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
To the dismay of yield-seeking investors, interest rates remain at historic lows. Although rates on long-term bonds may begin to inch up, analysts generally expect that we may remain in a low-interest-rate environment for a while longer. So, what are income investors to do? It is important to understand the risks of reaching for higher yields and realize there may be less risky ways to increase income.
It’s all about the Risk-Reward Relationship
When investing for any purpose, returns always boil down to the risk-reward relationship. The laws of investing dictate that it is very difficult to increase your return without also increasing your risk. While you can increase your yield by investing in lower-grade or longer-term bonds, you also increase your risk should interest rates suddenly rise. To learn more about how bonds react to interest rates, watch a short video at: profile-financial.com/bonds.
Income investors, especially retirees, want to generate cash. However, they also need to preserve their capital. By focusing on yield without regard to capital preservation, you increase your overall risk. In a low-interest-rate environment, the better strategy is to broaden your sources of income through total returns.
Forget about yields – look to total returns
“Total returns” is a strategy that invests in a combination of income and appreciation investments that, when allocated among different asset classes, can increase income while minimizing portfolio volatility. The goal is to generate sufficient current income while growing enough capital to keep up with inflation. A well-diversified portfolio of high-quality dividend stocks and investment-grade bonds can generate higher risk-adjusted returns more safely than a portfolio of the highest yielding, below investment-grade bonds.
Income investors do not have to suffer through an extended low-interest-rate environment. However, it does require a strategic approach tied directly to your specific risk-return profile. Working with a well-qualified investment advisor, just about any risk-return profile can be matched with a balanced and diversified total return portfolio strategy.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Secrets to a Financially Strong Marriage
By Douglas Goldstein, CFP® - helping you handle your American investments
Displayed prominently in our living room is a list titled, “Abba’s Secrets to Success” Now, as my oldest daughter is about to get married, I’ve compiled “Abba’s Secrets to a Financially Secure Marriage” for her and her groom. With their permission, I’d like to share it with you:
1. Be completely honest – Open communication is better than financial infidelity. Hidden spending not only damages your future goals but erodes trust. Discuss money regularly, not just when you have a big bill to pay.
2. Work on joint financial goals – Don’t fall into roles of good cop/bad cop where one of you wants to spend and the other wants to save. You’re merging your lives; now merge your money. There is no such thing as “my” money – no matter who brings home the paycheck, consider it “ours.”
3. Live below your means – Accumulating “stuff” is expensive. Create a budget and stick to it. Review your spending/saving goals regularly. And most importantly, ignore financial peer pressure to spend.
4. Make charity a priority –Get involved in tzedaka and make the world a better place.
5. Pay yourself first – You’ll grow old together; begin planning for it now. Compound interest and time are your new best friends. Make sure your savings is divided into three pots: an emergency fund, short-term, and long-term savings. Having an emergency fund is the best way to ensure that an unexpected problem won’t turn into a crisis.
6. Avoid debt – Make sure you have enough money saved before you buy. Avoid tashlumim! The only exception is taking on a mortgage (and then be careful not to buy a house that is too expensive.)
7. Find a financial advisor that you trust – Though I would be honored if you choose me, read the article at Profile-Financial.com/pick-advisor to make sure you select wisely.
8. Be detail-oriented - Pay your bills on time, file taxes, make sure you have insurance and healthcare directives.
Remember money is a tool to help you achieve great things, not an end in and of itself. Use it carefully and build well. And Mazel Tov!
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation on how to set up your American assets to meet your financial goals. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Do You Have to Stop Working When You Reach Retirement Age?
By Douglas Goldstein CFP® - helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Does reaching retirement age mean you have to stop working?
In Israel, the official retirement age for a man is 67. For women, it fluctuates between 60 and 62, depending on date of birth. Retirees until the age of 70 (or 69 for a woman born before 1950), are eligible for a state pension, but entitlement is affected by additional sources of income. From 70 onwards, a state pension is given regardless of other income.
So what is the best age to retire? Before making a decision, ask yourself the following questions:
Are you physically able?
As you age, your regular routine may become tiring. You may also develop health issues that make working full time difficult. So before you decide to keep on working, make sure that it’s realistic. In your retirement plan, make provisions for the possibility that future health problems may affect how long you can work.
Why do you want to keep working?
Do you want to keep working because you fear outliving your savings? If so, working as long as possible lets you amass more savings, and have fewer years of withdrawals.
But what if you don’t have to keep working for income? If your desire to keep working is based on factors such as wanting to maintain routine or enjoying the contact with your colleagues, there are other solutions. Perhaps you could work part-time or find a hobby that will provide a social life.
It’s not only about money
Before making your decision, meet with your financial planner, tax advisor, and pension planner to discuss your estimated streams of retirement income. At the same time take all relevant issues into account, and make your final decision after considering both the financial and emotional factors.
For more information about how to decide when to retire, read chapter 5 of The Retirement Planning Book. Click here for a free download.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
How to Prepare for the Next Stock Market Crash
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Over the past several years, the market has climbed to historic highs, prompting analysts to sound the alarm over the next stock market crash. While I can’t say when the next crash will occur, I can say it’s reasonable to assume that there will be another stock market drop at some point. How can you prepare for it?
Market crashes are inevitable
Crashes are more about the speed of decline than its depth or duration. The Flash Crash of 2010 saw the market plunge 1,000 points in minutes. In the 2008 crash, the market fell more than 20% within days. The good news is that each time the market crashed, it fully recovered and went on to greater gains. In 2010, it took a couple of days to recover, while in 2008 it took about 17 months. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Every bull market (market rally) leads to some sort of correction. Corrections are defined as declines of 10% to 20%, and they are very common during extended stock market rallies. They may last from a few weeks to a few months. A bear market is when stocks decline more than 20%, with a duration of more than 15 months.
Patience and discipline beat fear and panic
The key takeaway is that crashes, corrections, and bear markets are all parts of market cycles. These events are even healthy for the long-term trajectory of the market. So while it’s scary to watch your portfolio lose a significant portion of its value, keep in mind that these are only paper losses. These losses don’t become real until you sell. (That’s why it is important to move out of the market if you need your money in the short term, and don’t have time to recoup potential paper losses.)
If you have a solid, long-term investment strategy, your patience and discipline should pay off over the long-term. A properly diversified portfolio should be able to weather most storms, given enough time. For more on how to prepare your portfolio for a market crash, see: Profile-Financial.com/stocks
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Debunking 3 Myths About Not Needing an Emergency Fund
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
One of the most fundamental principles of financial planning is to prepare for the unexpected by keeping three to six months’ worth of living expenses in an emergency fund. The trouble is many people succumb to the myth that emergency funds aren’t necessary because you can always withdraw from savings. Here are 3 myths about emergency funds and why they are wrong:
The best place to keep an emergency fund is in your investment portfolio
Yes, an investment account is technically marketable; and it can provide you with access to cash should you need it. However, you can lose real money if you are forced to sell assets at the wrong time. Imagine selling off $5,000 of your equities to cover an emergency expense after the market has declined 25%. It could take you years to gain that back. Better to have that money sitting in a low-yielding money market fund. Read this blog post to learn more about why investing your emergency fund is a bad idea: www.profileperspectives.com/emergencyfund.
Once I turn 59½ I can use my retirement plan
Yes, once you reach age 59½, the 10% penalty in your Individual Retirement Account (IRA) goes away. However, when you access your retirement account, the withdrawal is taxed as ordinary income. But the real issue is that it could put you into a higher tax bracket, which would be even more costly. Covering a $10,000 expense could require you to withdraw as much as $15,000 to cover taxes. While I do not give tax advice, it is important to keep tax considerations in mind when withdrawing funds.
It’s better to pay down debt than to save for an emergency fund
While paying down debt may be the best use of your excess cash flow in most situations, few would argue that it should be done at the expense of building an emergency fund. Without an emergency fund, you could end up taking on even more debt, which just compounds the problem. The better approach is to apply a portion of your cash flow to both eliminating debt and building an emergency fund.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Short on Retirement Savings? Here’s What You Need to Do
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
More than 10,000 baby boomers cross the retirement threshold every day, and nearly one in four of them of haven’t saved enough to retire comfortably. If you’ve reached that point and realize your retirement savings won’t last your lifetime, it’s time to have an uncomfortable conversation with a financial advisor because there are several things that need to be done. But it all starts with having a plan.
Create a realistic plan
Establish realistic goals based on what you expect to happen. That should include a new time line for critical milestones, such as when you expect to stop working, when to start Social Security and Bituach Leumi, and when (or if) you will need to begin digging into your capital. Crunch the numbers to come up with a pre- and post-retirement spending plan as well as an investment strategy to maximize your income and capital growth.
Start living like a retiree now
By adjusting your lifestyle you can lower spending to make a significant difference in how much you can save. Reducing your budget now can also prepare you for the transition of living with a lower income as you move into retirement. The pre-retirement years may be the ideal time to downsize your home, your car, and your lifestyle.
Delay retirement to the “new 65”
For many people, regardless of where they stand financially, 70 is the “new 65” when it comes to retirement age. There are several advantages to working longer:
• You can maximize your Social Security and Bituach Leumi benefits.
• It will reduce the number of years you’ll actually live in retirement.
• It will give you more time to build your nest egg.
If you delay retirement, reduce your spending, and increase your savings, you gain the huge benefit of time to allow your money to work for you. It may not be the retirement you envisioned, but it doesn’t have to be the disaster many are facing today. Learn more about improving your retirement income by watching a short video here.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
How to Keep Financial Harmony in Your Marriage
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
What’s the best way to achieve financial harmony in a marriage?
When two people get married, they don’t only join their lives together, but also their money. If differences in money attitudes and practices are not addressed early on, people can become set in their ways, making it more difficult to overcome any disagreements. However, where there is love, there are also ways to heal the financial divide.
Find shared values and purpose
Couples need to come together with a shared vision of their future based on joint values. If they share a mission and purpose, their decisions will have greater clarity and conviction and it should be easier to maintain financial harmony. Shared goals can provide the motivation to spend/save according to an agreed-upon plan.
Create a plan
At the core of any successful enterprise – be it a business or marriage – is a spending plan or budget. With shared goals and purpose, couples can better prioritize their spending and find it easier to agree on financial decisions. Budgets should be created as a couple and tracked together monthly.
Keep separate finances
When finances are merged, it can sometimes lead to a struggle for control. Make sure that money doesn’t become a power issue. While both partners don’t need to balance the checkbook or pay the bills, everyone needs to be happy with the division of labor.
Making joint spending/saving decisions is important. However, not every financial decision needs to be approved by your spouse. Allowing some individual control over a personal spending budget can go a long way to relieving the stress of having to account for every shekel spent as a couple. Decide on an amount where each person can spend without having to “check in” with the other.
Read my blog, ProfilePerspectives.com/sharedsavings, for an in-depth discussion of the pros and cons of maintaining a shared savings account.
Communicate!
As with any other issue in marriage, open and honest communication is the key to finding financial harmony. Couples who make time to discuss money issues regularly usually achieve a financial consensus.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
What You Should Know About Low-Risk Investments
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Recently, a new client told me that his portfolio mostly contained low-risk investments. When I saw that the majority of his investments were mutual funds, I asked him why he believed mutual funds were “low-risk,” as his funds contained stocks. What he was missing was the mutual funds contained stocks which are risky, so even though the funds were diversified, he was exposed to a lot of risk.
What is a low-risk investment?
An example of a low-risk investment is a bank deposit, or CD (certificate of deposit). A CD pays a fixed interest rate and matures on a specific date. It is “safer” than a stock, the value of which can fluctuate dramatically, since if the CD investor holds the CD until maturity, he knows he’ll get his principal and interest paid in full. Investors looking for a low-risk investment that produces income choose CDs because they pay interest on the original deposit.
Furthermore, CDs are normally insured by the FDIC for up to $250,000 if the bank fails and doesn’t pay back the initial deposit on maturity.
However, though a CD carries a low level of risk, you can still lose money if you sell it before its maturity date. Moreover, if rates of inflation are higher than interest rates, the real value of your money diminishes compared to the original purchase. Additionally, CDs also include an element of liquidity risk, especially if you invest in a long-term CD.
What to think about if you want to invest in CDs
There are many reasons to invest in a CD. It may be worth forfeiting the possibility of higher returns in the stock market for relative peace of mind in preserving your principal.
If so, consider buying CDs through your broker, as CDs purchased through a brokerage account can offer higher returns than if you buy them as an individual through a retail bank.
To learn more about CDs and other low-risk investments, listen to my podcast at: GoldsteinOnGelt.com/low-risk
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Can I Safely Withdraw My Principal in Retirement?
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
As a cross-border financial advisor, one question I hear nearly every day is, “Can I afford to withdraw my principal in retirement?” For most of my clients, the short answer is, yes, but it is important to know how much and from which accounts you can dip into your principal.
When withdrawal is part of a strategy
The financial planning industry’s “4 Percent Rule” is commonly applied in determining how much principal you can draw down annually without risking outliving your money. Based on historical worst-case scenarios for a portfolio allocation of 60% stocks and 40% bonds over the last 100 years, 4% is considered a safe withdrawal rate in most situations. However, since each person’s situation is different, don’t rely on a rule of thumb as customized financial plan.
A simple calculation to determine how much capital would be needed to generate a desired level of income using the 4% strategy is to multiply your income need by 25. For example, if you need $100,000/year in retirement, you would need $2.5 million of capital at a withdrawal rate of 4%.
When withdrawal can be done conservatively
According to a survey by AARP, only a quarter of retirees dip into their principal, largely due to their fear of outliving their assets. Many retirees simply adjust their spending to be able to live off their income, even though they may have adequate principal to use. However, if withdrawing principal is done properly, with caution and attention to tax efficiency, retirees should have nothing to fear.
Determining how much principal you can safely withdraw each year should be an annual calculation. Factors such as your living needs, interest rates, market performance, inflation, and your general outlook on the future will affect the calculation. Work with your financial advisor to review your retirement income plan throughout your retirement. To learn more about income planning, download the Retirement Planning Book (for free) at Profile-Financial.com/rpb
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
How to Invest When You Can’t Predict Market Direction
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
If you’re thinking of investing in stocks but you’re concerned about which direction the stock market will move, here’s what you need to know:
If you are a new investor with a long-term perspective, it shouldn’t matter which direction the stock market moves in the short term. What you should know is that a bull market (up market) generally follows a bear (down) market. On average, bear markets in the United States last about 11 months, while bull markets average 32 months. In the past, the average bear market decline was 27%, while the average bull market gain was 119%, though past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Remember that historically down markets were temporary. More importantly, not only does a bull market erase declines, but in the past, the gains of the previous bull market were extended significantly. Will it always be that way? Unfortunately, no one knows.
Diversification is key to long-term performance
The key to capturing the upside returns of the stock market while minimizing downside risk is diversification. Diversification is a strategy that recognizes the uncertainty in how stocks from various sectors will perform at any time and it tries to balance your portfolio by spreading out risk among various assets. Instead of buying dozens of individual stocks, you can diversify with index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
With ETFs and index funds, your investments can be allocated among different types of stock indexes to achieve a risk/return profile that matches your own risk tolerance.
If you work with a licensed financial advisor who understands your objectives and risk profile, you can create a diversified portfolio that is tailored to your needs. Learn more about investing in stocks by watching this 10-minute video.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Why You Need to Talk to Your Adult Children about Your Finances
By Douglas Goldstein CFP® - helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Do you find it difficult to discuss with your adult children what should happen with your finances towards the end of your life?
If so, you’re not alone.
People don’t like thinking about their own mortality or losing control. Moreover, as family relationships aren’t always easy, discussing issues such as power of attorney, healthcare proxies, and estate planning can get very complicated. For these reasons, many families push off this conversation for as long as possible.
If you don’t speak with your adult children about your finances, they may have difficulty picking up the pieces and taking care of you and your affairs if you become too infirm to take care of yourself. The emotional and monetary effects of taking care of an elderly parent without any direction can be very hard, especially if your adult children are raising families of their own at the same time.
How to have “the talk”
The best way to let your adult children into your finances is to talk with them. If you can’t physically do that for any reason, compose a list of all your assets, where they are, what you want to happen when you’re no longer able to look after yourself, who would take care of you, and other important issues. Make sure to sign the appropriate documents so your children have the legal means to make financial decisions on your behalf (Power of Attorney, Trading Authorization, etc.)
If you have a financial advisor, invite your adult children to the attend meetings. Let them know who helps you with your finances and who to ask for reliable, objective advice when necessary. While you can’t ever know exactly how long you will live or stay healthy, taking a disciplined approach and sharing your financial situation, goals, and strategies can save a lot of heartache for everyone down the road.
For more about why sharing your finances with your adult children is so important, listen to Tim Prosch, author of The Other Talk, on The Goldstein on Gelt Show at here.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Steps You Need to Take 5 Years before Retirement
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Will you have “enough” money to live comfortably? The months and years before retirement may be filled with trepidation and financial worries. In order to minimize financial concerns before retirement, here are some steps you should take in the five years leading up to it:
Organize your assets for tax efficiency
Most retirees underestimate the impact taxes will have on their retirement income. If you have an idea of what your retirement tax bracket will be, work with your advisor to arrange your assets in a way to create the greatest tax efficiency when you start withdrawing. Selling assets might trigger large capital gains taxes, and there may be additional taxes on pension payments.
Know your pension options
For some people, delaying taking Social Security or other pensions until as late as possible might make sense. Learn more about timing claiming benefits at: Profileperspectives.com/social-security. Be sure to check with your Israeli pension advisor in Israel about taking Bituach Leumi and withdrawing your work pension as a lump sum or in monthly payments.
Don’t be too conservative
While it may be tempting to reduce your exposure to risk-based investments pre-retirement, if you get too conservative, you could inadvertently diminish your portfolio’s capacity to generate enough income to meet your needs. A balanced and diversified portfolio of both stocks and bonds may be your best strategy for maintaining capital growth while reducing portfolio volatility. But beware of taking risks without consulting with a licensed advisor first.
Find your retirement ambition
Studies show that retirees who stay engaged and productive are happier in all aspects of their lives. Explore new interests that can be enjoyed now and more fully developed as you cross the retirement threshold. These might include volunteering, mentoring, or starting a new hobby or business.
The five years before retirement is a critical period for ensuring a smooth transition into your next stage of life. Get in touch if you’re concerned about how to handle your investments for retirement: doug@profile-financial.com.
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
How to Choose the Right Financial Advisor for You
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Choosing the right financial advisor can be like seeking the right life partner. Your financial advisor needs to be the perfect match for you and your situation. Your advisor must be knowledgeable, honest, reliable, and, most importantly, have your best interests in mind.
There are many financial professionals, who all offer a range of services and expertise. How should you choose? When considering whether to work with a prospective advisor, ask yourself these questions:
Is this financial advisor qualified?
Before you set foot inside a financial advisor’s office, make sure that he is licensed and has expertise with the types of investments that interest you. You can check out his qualifications, background, and experience through the online checking facilities provided by FINRA (Financial Industry Regulatory Authority) in the United States and ISA (Israel Securities Authority) in Israel.
Who is the topic of your first meeting?
If your prospective financial advisor spends a lot of time talking about himself and his credentials, but doesn’t ask you about your investment goals and current financial situation, then choose someone else. The main subject of your first meeting should be you. A financial advisor needs to learn about you, your specific needs, goals, and the ultimate purpose of your investments.
Talking with you or at you?
When a financial advisor speaks with you about investments, make sure you understand how these investments work and why he suggested them. Not everyone understands financial jargon, so make sure everything is explained clearly. If you don’t feel comfortable asking questions, interview another advisor. During your conversation (and yes, it should be a conversation and not a monologue!), make sure that you feel comfortable. You should leave the meeting with a sense that your finances are in good hands.
What else do you need to know about finding the perfect (financial) match? For more ideas, read this: Profile-Financial.com/pick-advisor
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
What You Need to Know About Rolling Your 401(k) to an IRA
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
When you change jobs, everything you need to take with you can be neatly packed into a box – except your retirement plan. When you leave your job, you need to think about rolling your 401(k) into an IRA (Individual Retirement Account). If you left your job to make aliya, this question becomes even more crucial, as cross-border financial regulations come into play with keeping the tax-beneficial status of American retirement accounts.
What are your options?
If you leave your American job to move to Israel, you have four options for your 401(k):
• Keep the money with your former employer’s 401(k) plan,
• Roll your funds into an IRA,
• Roll your money into your new employer’s plan if it’s allowed,
• Cash out your 401(k) plan by withdrawing all your money (not recommended).
The best course of action depends on your financial situation, your attitude about managing your own retirement funds, where you will live, and the specific plan options available to you. What are the pros and cons of rolling your 401(k) plan into an IRA?
Advantages of an IRA Rollover
There are several reasons why rolling your 401(k) into an IRA may be advantageous. An IRA gives you more control over your specific investments, as they tend to offer more investment options than a typical 401(k) plan. Furthermore, you can easily manage an IRA from overseas.
Disadvantages of an IRA Rollover
If you want access to your retirement funds before age 59½, you may prefer to keep your funds in your 401(k) or roll them into your new employer’s 401(k) plan (if available). If you are younger, you might want to take advantage of the fact that 401(k) withdrawals are allowed at age 55. Or, if you are happy with your current investments, it may be better to leave them where they are rather than rolling them over to somewhere else.
Before changing any retirement plan, make sure to consult with a financial advisor and tax professional to understand the tax consequences of any move you make. To learn more about IRAs, read: ProfilePerspectives.com/401-and-ira
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
How to Make a Good Investment Decision
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
Since one person’s good investment choice may be a huge mistake for someone else, what factors should you consider when deciding upon a potential investment?
In investing, the only hard and fast rule is that past performance never guarantees future returns. Though you should try to understand why a security acted in a specific way in the past, the most important thing you can do is make sound decisions based upon your personal situation. To help you make an even clearer decision, use an investment evaluation tool like the one available at Profile-Financial.com/investment-evaluation
All too often, folks lose money as a result of not asking the right questions. So, when deciding what to invest in, ask yourself:
What is your net worth?
Why is knowing your net worth important? Before you invest your money, you need to know how much you really have. This doesn’t only refer to savings, but also to other assets such as real estate and collectibles (if you would ever consider selling them). Knowing your total net worth helps you create an asset allocation model and understand how the new idea would fit in your big picture.
What is your tolerance for risk?
Risk tolerance is very individual. If you are close to retirement, your risk tolerance level may be lower than that of a younger person because you have less time to recoup any potential loss. Sometimes even younger folks don’t have the stomach for market volatility and they need to choose more conservative investments, too.
What is the purpose of the investment?
Are you investing for growth, to maintain your principal, or to generate income? Growth investments increase your wealth through long- or short-term appreciation. These investments include mutual funds and various types of stocks. Income investments, on the other hand, generate steady income through interest or dividend payments. Examples include dividend stocks or bonds. An income investment may not be suitable for growth investing, and vice versa.
To find out what other questions you should ask before making a financial decision, check out the free investment evaluation tool at: Profile-Financial.com/investment-evaluation
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Was Miguel Cervantes’ Don Quixote fighting imaginary windmills or market volatility when he said, “Don’t put all of your eggs in one basket?” Putting all of your assets in one basket doesn’t keep them as safe as you might think because there is always a risk that you might lose them all at once.
The way to counter this is the investment strategy of asset allocation. Asset allocation, or diversification, may be even more important than picking the “right” stocks.
The idea is to diversify your money among different types of assets, such as equities, fixed income, and cash and its equivalents, rather than putting all your money into one single asset class.
Minimize potential losses
The main reason for practicing asset allocation and having a diversified portfolio is to minimize potential losses. If you invest in a single asset class, and it does badly, you could sustain a heavy loss. However, if you spread your investments among different asset classes, if one class performs poorly, your losses could be mitigated by holdings in different, hopefully better-performing asset classes. For example, historically, when bonds tend to have low interest rates, stocks rise in value, and in periods of high interest rates, bonds outperform stocks. Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
How to determine your asset allocation
How do you choose which asset classes to invest in, and in which proportions? This depends on your personal situation and goals. If you want to save for a specific, short-term goal, you would put more of your money into liquid assets that minimize jeopardizing the principal, such as certificates of deposit (CDs), money markets, or cash. However, if you are investing for the long term, you might include a larger proportion of stocks and other growth investments in your portfolio. As the goal is more long term, you have more time to ride out market fluctuations.
To find out more about asset allocation and the importance of having a diversified portfolio, read my blog: Profile-Financial.com/asset-allocation
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
Why You Need to Build an Emergency Fund
By Douglas Goldstein CFP®- helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
What would happen if you had an emergency – like a huge dental bill or unexpected car repair? And even worse, what if you had lost your job a month before and couldn’t even get an interview for a new one? To top it off, you get a call that a close relative in the States is sick and you desperately want to fly in to help. Do you have cash available to pay, or would you need to withdraw from your long-term retirement account or sell investments (possibly incurring a large tax bill)?
How to build an effective emergency fund
Generally, folks should have three to six months’ worth of essential living expenses as the benchmark, and sometimes as much as twelve months or more, depending on their other assets and job prospects.
Your emergency fund money should be in a liquid investment so it can be accessed instantly, when needed, without penalties. It’s true that you won’t earn a lot on it, but that’s the cost of liquidity. Investing in something that yields a higher return usually involves greater risk… risk you shouldn’t take with your emergency fund. Since you may need all of this money, you can’t afford a drop in its value. Additionally, if you put this money into an illiquid investment, you may not be able to sell it quickly enough when faced with a bill. Remember, emergencies don’t wait for a bull market.
Review your personal life and work situation. Someone who works in a field with frequent turnover – like technology, or on a commission-based salary, may need a larger emergency fund. Likewise, a single person may face fewer emergencies than a family with many children, and his fund may not need to be as large.
If you continually need to call on your emergency fund, you should also reevaluate your budgeting practices.
For other advice on saving and investing, download a free copy of The Retirement Planning Book at: Profile-Financial.com/rpb
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.
The Things Not to Do With an Inheritance
By Douglas Goldstein, CFP® - helping olim handle their U.S. investments from Israel
When you get an inheritance, your first question may be, “What should I do now?” But perhaps a better question is “What shouldn’t I do now?”
An emotional rollercoaster
Getting an inheritance arouses many emotions. Sometimes, people get too excited and they spend all the money without thinking about the best uses for it. Others feel uncertain that they know how to manage the wealth they just received. Their fear paralyzes them, preventing them from making good investment decisions.
What are the mistakes to avoid?
When you get an inheritance, try not to let the tangle of emotions interfere with making the right choices. Avoid the following:
Impulse spending. While you may have always wanted a luxury car, designer jewelry, or the latest technological gadget, step back and ask yourself if these are really the best uses for your new wealth. Sometimes there is an additional cost to an item beyond its price tag – can you afford the ongoing costs of maintaining a new acquisition?
Get-rich-quick schemes. While it may be prudent to invest some or all of your inheritance, don’t get blinded by your desire to make as much money as possible. Many offers of “high returns” that sound too good to be true often are. Sometimes preservation of wealth is more important than growth. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision, since their objectivity and knowledge can alert you to scams and unrealistic expectations.
Fear and anxiety. Don’t be too frightened to take some risks. The problem with conservative investments is that low interest rates may not beat inflation, so in the long run, your money may lose its real value. A financial advisor can help you assess your situation and suggest suitable investments.
Greedy/Needy friends or relatives. If you are approached by gift/loan requests, don’t feel pressured into agreeing. First make sure that your own future is financially secure, and only then weigh the merits of the request.
What should you do now?
There are positive ways to use your inheritance. For some more information on what to do after you receive an inheritance, join my free webinar. Register at Profile-Financial.com/webinar
Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates. Neither PRG nor its affiliates give tax or legal advice.